Friday, June 23, 2017

Tag: Brexit

EU summit lines up against Russia

On Thursday, the 28 leaders of the European Union gathered in Brussels at their final summit of the year. The EU is in deep crisis. Following the British decision to leave the EU, the election of Donald Trump as US president, and the rise of right-wing nationalist forces in...

Lagarde Says Globalization Needs to Have a More Inclusive Face

Supporters of globalization need to develop a new way to promote open markets that relies on smaller trade deals and helps people who are feeling left out, International Monetary Fund Managing Director Christine Lagarde said. “I certainly hope there is not a move toward deglobalization,” Lagarde said Friday in an...
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Mark Blyth: Global Trumpism and The Revolt Against The Creditor Class

Mark Blyth is a Scottish political scientist and a professor of international political economy at Brown University. At an event on November 9 at Brown's Watson Institute for International and Public Affairs, he spoke about "Global Trumpism" -- a worldwide working-class backlash against harmful macroeconomic trends. "What we have everywhere...

Everyone in Europe Needs to Take a Deep, Calming Breath

We don't yet know how the president-elect will behave in office. Meanwhile, the present state of hysteria could make things worse. “The sky is falling!” exclaimed Chicken Little, in the well-known folk tale, after an acorn fell on the poor fowl’s head, leading to mass hysteria over an imminent apocalypse...

Germany Can Protect the Liberal Order

As U.S. President Barack Obama arrived in Berlin for a farewell visit on Wednesday, German policymakers were scrambling to develop a road map for dealing with the presidency of his successor, Donald Trump. Last week, in a congratulatory note to the president-elect, German Chancellor Angela Merkel gently conditioned Germany's...

Global Trumpism: Why Trump’s Victory Was 30 Years in the Making and Why It...

Trump's victory was predictable, and was predicted, but not by looking at polls. Polling has taken a beating recently having failed to predict the victory of David Cameron's Conservative Party in the British general elections, then Brexit, and now the election of Donald Trump. One can argue about what’s...

Brexit plans in disarray as high court rules parliament must have its say

Government to appeal after judges say article 50 cannot be triggered without MPs’ backing – a major blow to Theresa May. Parliament alone has the power to trigger Brexit by notifying Brussels of the UK’s intention to leave the European Union, the high court has ruled. The judgment (pdf), delivered by...

Japanese companies in UK already receiving offers from EU

Haruki Hayashi, president of Japanese chambers of commerce in UK, said firms needed more than ‘general reassurances’. Japanese companies based in Britain have already started to receive offers from other European countries and could postpone investment decisions if Theresa May’s government fails to negotiate a close economic relationship with the...

UK Government agreed referendum could not be legally binding

Only six years ago, ministers agreed that referendums “cannot be legally binding” – so MPs and peers should decide “whether or not to take action”. Senior Conservative MPs have seized on a forgotten Government promise to let Parliament decide the response to any referendum result – insisting it must hold...

Global debt climbs towards fresh high as companies and countries keep on borrowing

Global debt issuance is on course to hit a record high in 2016 as figures showed sales this year topped $5 trillion (£3.9 trillion) at the end of September. Debt issuance rose to $5.02 trillion in the nine months to September 22, according to Dealogic, putting 2016 on course to...

Sleepwalking into a big war

The major powers are planning for war and claim that’s the best way to defend against war. Will this mutual hawkishness lead to armed conflict? As the US presidential race approaches its climax and European officials ponder the implications of the UK’s Brexit vote, public discussion of security affairs is...

Euro zone monthly economic sentiment falls more than expected

Economic sentiment in the 19 countries sharing the euro fell in August to its lowest level since March, a further indication that morale is weakening after Britain voted to leave the European Union. The European Commission's euro zone Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) fell to 103.5 in August from 104.5 in...

Lord Rothschild: This Is The Greatest Experiment In Monetary Policy In The History Of...

Two months ago, the bond manager of what was once the world's biggest bond fund had a dire prediction about how "all of this" will end (spoiler: not well). Gross: Global yields lowest in 500 years of recorded history. $10 trillion of neg. rate bonds. This is a supernova that...

In Surprising Twist, Global Central Banks Dump A Record $335 Billion In US Debt...

On Sunday, when looking at the latest update of the Fed's custody holdings of Treasuries, we noted something troubling: the number dropped sharply, declining by over $17 billion, bringing the total to $2.871 trillion, the lowest amount of Treasuries held by foreigners at the Fed since 2012. We added that...

The problem with Europe is the euro

In this extract from his new book, the Nobel prize-winning economist argues that if the euro is not radically rethought, Europe could be condemned to decades of broken dreams. Europe, the source of the Enlightenment, the birthplace of modern science, is in crisis. This part of the world, which hosted...

Brexit: EU considers migration emergency brake for UK for up to seven years

Diplomats working on deal to give Theresa May greater concessions than those won by David Cameron, despite French doubts. Plans to allow the United Kingdom an exemption from EU rules on freedom of movement for up to seven years while retaining access to the single market are being considered in...

How China’s Currency Manipulation Enhances the Global Role of the U.S. Dollar

But it's not quite that simple. In fact, Beijing benefits from the dollar’s dominance. On April 16, Zhou Xiaochuan, the governor of China’s central bank, the People’s Bank of China, once again set off alarm bells during a speech at the International Monetary Fund (IMF). “Starting from this April,” he...

US seeking bilateral trade deal with UK to press EU on TTIP

American officials moving swiftly to cement economic relationship with Britain and speed up stalled transatlantic trade deal with Europe. A potentially swift bilateral trade and investment deal with the UK is being suggested by American officials as a way of pressing the European Union to speed up its own stalled...

IMF Cuts Global Growth Forecasts on Brexit, Warns of Risks to Outlook

Brexit causes ‘substantial’ increase in economic, political, institutional uncertainty Global forecast for 2017 cut by 0.1 percentage point, to 3.4 percent If not for Brexit, global forecast would have been slightly higher The International Monetary Fund cut its forecasts for global economic growth this year and next as the unexpected U.K. vote...

SoftBank to Buy Britain’s ARM for $32 Billion in Record Deal

SoftBank Group Corp. agreed to buy ARM Holdings Plc for 24.3 billion pounds ($32 billion), securing a slice of virtually every mobile computing gadget on the planet and future connected devices in the home. The Japanese company is offering 1,700 pence in cash per share or a 43 percent premium...

British Parliament Votes to Spend Big on Nukes

A large majority of British lawmakers on Monday backed plans to replace the country’s nuclear-armed submarines with new vessels, a move that advocates argued would maintain the U.K.’s status as a major world power despite its vote to leave the European Union. Members of the House of Commons voted by...

Quantitative easing useful when all else fails, says Fed official Loretta Mester

A top official from the US Federal Reserve says quantitative easing has "proven useful", but the likely path of US monetary policy is still for interest rate rises. Talk of further unconventional monetary policies globally has increased as Japan reaches the limit of what negative interest rates and quantitative easing...

Why is the gold price rising? Five forces driving the precious metal

Hoarding gold is a centuries-old reaction to times of crisis, and the aftermath of the EU referendum vote is no different. The yellow metal has soared in value since Britain voted to leave the European Union as investors shoot towards traditional "safe haven" assets. Prices have reached a three-year high as Brexit worries intensify. An ounce of gold is now worth...

Silver Up 44.7% in First Half of 2016

While investors have primarily focused on gold’s bull run, silver has quietly outperformed the yellow metal. Between Jan. 1 and July 11, the price of silver increased 44.7%, according to the Silver Institute. The price of gold increased 27.7% in that same time period. The Silver Institute said the surge in...

Bank of England Signals August Stimulus as Rate Kept at 0.5%

The Bank of England left its key interest rate at a record low and signaled it’s readying stimulus for August as the economy reels from Britain’s decision to quit the European Union. The nine-member Monetary Policy Committee, led by Governor Mark Carney, voted 8-1 to keep the benchmark at 0.5...

Meet the Motley Crew Charged With Seeing Britain Out of the EU

The new government has no fewer than five officials appointed to implement the Brexit. And no one — including them — knows how they’re going to do it. The prime minister who took power because of the Brexit just formed a cabinet shaped by the Brexit — but it’s not...

Pound sterling could slide below $1.20 because of Brexit, Goldman Sachs warns

Analysts have said the pound still has further to slide. The pound fell as low as $1.28 against the dollar in overnight trading after warnings about the financial stability of the UK after Brexit spooked investors. Sterling was trading at $1.29 in mid-morning trading on Tuesday, down 0.63 per cent on...

Brexit Accelerates the British Pound’s 100 Years of Debasement

In 1967, U.K. Prime Minister Harold Wilson declared devaluation wouldn’t diminish the “pound in your pocket.” Chancellor of the Exchequer Norman Lamont admitted he was heard “singing in the bath” after sterling’s link to the deutsche mark was severed in 1992, sending the currency tumbling. If history is any guide,...

Britain’s Plummeting Pound Is Bad News for America

Fallout from Britain's decision to leave the European Union continued Tuesday, with the once-powerful pound falling to its lowest levels against the U.S. dollar in three decades. This is bad news for Britons, who have seen the value of their currency drop to  $1.30 vs. the dollar — on June...

Why gold investors should look at silver too

Silver prices hit a two-year high above $21 per ounce on Monday, as precious metals continue to gain from the safe-haven rally following the U.K. referendum. Some investors say silver has further to run and may be a better bet than gold. "Silver is a metal that most people don't really...

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