Tuesday, October 17, 2017

Tag: Decline

China’s Army of Global Homebuyers Is Suddenly Short on Cash

China's escalating crackdown on capital outflows is sending shudders through property markets around the world. In London, Chinese citizens who clamored to purchase flats at the city’s tallest apartment tower three months ago are now struggling to transfer their down payments. In Silicon Valley, Keller Williams Realty says inquiries from...

China’s Xi Jinping At Davos, World’s Most Powerful Beggar

Xi Jinping will address the World Economic Forum on Tuesday in Davos, the first time a Chinese leader has done so. Chinese state media tells us he will speak strongly in favor of globalization. That message will be difficult to accept, however, as his country is closing off its market,...

China Reserves Hover Above $3 Trillion on Government Support

China's foreign currency holdings remained above $3 trillion in December even as the yuan capped its steepest annual decline in more than two decades. Reserves fell $41.08 billion to $3.01 trillion, the People’s Bank of China said in a statement Saturday. That matched a $3.01 trillion estimate in a Bloomberg survey...

China Considers Options to Back Yuan, Curb Outflows

China has studied possible scenarios for the yuan and capital outflows this year and is preparing contingency plans, according to people familiar with the matter. The offshore yuan surged the most in a year. The authorities have used stress tests, models and field research, said the people who asked not...
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Michael Hudson on the Orwellian Turn in Contemporary Economics

Michael Hudson is President of The Institute for the Study of Long-Term Economic Trends (ISLET), a Wall Street Financial Analyst, Distinguished Research Professor of Economics at the University of Missouri, Kansas City and author of Killing the Host (2015), The Bubble and Beyond (2012), Super-Imperialism: The Economic Strategy of American Empire...

Saudis, China Dump Treasuries; Foreign Central Banks Liquidate A Record $375 Billion In US...

One month ago, when we last looked at the Fed's update of Treasuries held in custody, we noted something troubling: the number had dropped sharply, declining by over $22 billion in one week, one of the the biggest weekly declines since January 2015, pushing the total amount of custodial...

Bonds bloodied as Trump spending plans spur dollar

Routs in global bonds and emerging markets intensified, while the dollar climbed with base metals as investors positioned for the wave of fiscal stimulus that Donald Trump has pledged to unleash. The yield on 30-year Treasuries rose to the highest since January, with last week’s record debt selloff bleeding into...

James Rickards: The Petro Dollar Is Dead, Dollar Devaluation, Pensions Lost, World Currency

James Rickards is the Editor of Strategic Intelligence, a financial newsletter, and Director of The James Rickards Project, an inquiry into the complex dynamics of geopolitics + global capital. He is the author of The New Case for Gold (April 2016), and two New York Times best sellers, The...

Black Turnout Soft in Early Voting, Boding Ill for Hillary Clinton

African-Americans are failing to vote at the robust levels they did four years ago in several states that could help decide the presidential election, creating a vexing problem for Hillary Clinton as she clings to a deteriorating lead over Donald J. Trump with Election Day just a week away. As...

Saudis, China Dump Treasuries; Foreign Central Banks Liquidate A Record $346 Billion In US...

One month ago, when we last looked at the Fed's update of Treasuries held in custody, we noted something troubling: the number dropped sharply, declining by over $27.5 billion in one week, the biggest weekly drop since January 2015, pushing the total amount of custodial paper to $2.83 trillion,...

The decline of the middle class is causing even more economic damage than we...

I have just come across an International Monetary Fund working paper on income polarization in the United States that makes an important contribution to the secular stagnation debate. The authors — Ali Alichi, Kory Kantenga and Juan Solé — use standard econometric techniques to estimate the impact of declines in middle...

The Effects Of Money On Trade

There can be little doubt now outside of orthodox economics that the global economy is actually slowing, not accelerating as has been predicted. Economists themselves, however, continue to claim that things are getting better when the data strongly suggests otherwise. The latest depressing figures are from a pair of...

A Weaker Currency Is No Longer Economic Elixir It Once Was

A weaker currency, once the cure-all for ailing economies around the world, isn’t the panacea it once was. Just look at Japan, where the yen plunged 28 percent in the two years through 2014, yet net exports to America still fell by 10 percent. Or at the U.K., where the...

Treasury Market’s Biggest Buyers Are Selling as Never Before

They’ve long been one of the most reliable sources of demand for U.S. government debt. But these days, foreign central banks have become yet another worry for investors in the world’s most important bond market. Holders like China and Japan have culled their stakes in Treasuries for three consecutive quarters, the...

Profit Slump for S&P 500 Heads for a Sixth Straight Quarter

Analysts have been cutting estimates for U.S. earnings, after earlier projecting a return to growth during the third quarter. The third quarter was supposed to be when earnings growth returned to U.S. companies. Not anymore. Companies in the S&P 500 are now expected to report an earnings decline for the sixth...

“We Haven’t Seen This Since The Great Depression” – Gallup CEO Destroys The “Recovery”...

I've been reading a lot about a "recovering" economy. It was even trumpeted on Page 1 of The New York Times and Financial Times last week. I don't think it's true. The percentage of Americans who say they are in the middle or upper-middle class has fallen 10 percentage points, from...

Foreigners turn away from Treasuries just when needed most: Analyst

The biggest buyers of U.S. Treasuries have turned fickle on U.S. debt, just when they may be needed most. Peter Boockvar, chief market analyst at The Lindsey Group, points out that for a fourth month in a row, foreigners were net sellers of U.S. notes and bonds, dumping $13.1 billion...

Foreign Central Banks Sell A Record $343 Billion In US Treasuries In The Last...

One month ago, when we last looked at the Fed's update of Treasuries held in custody, we noted something troubling: the number dropped sharply, declining by over $17 billion, bringing the total to $2.871 trillion, the lowest amount of Treasuries held by foreigners at the Fed since 2012. One...

Saudi Arabia Said to Weigh Canceling $20 Billion of Projects

Saudi Arabia is intensifying efforts to shrink the highest budget deficit among the world’s biggest 20 economies, aiming to cancel more than $20 billion of projects and slash ministry budgets by a quarter, people familiar with the matter said. The government is reviewing thousands of projects valued at about 260...

Hanjin Shipping Upsets Global Trade After Seeking Protection From Creditors

South Korean container carrier stops accepting new cargo as U.S. ports block its ships. South Korea’s Hanjin Shipping Co., one of the world’s largest shipping lines, stopped taking new cargo and U.S. ports began turning away its ships after it filed for bankruptcy protection on Wednesday. The move, coming at a...

Euro zone monthly economic sentiment falls more than expected

Economic sentiment in the 19 countries sharing the euro fell in August to its lowest level since March, a further indication that morale is weakening after Britain voted to leave the European Union. The European Commission's euro zone Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) fell to 103.5 in August from 104.5 in...

The Federal Reserve’s moral imperative

The Federal Reserve is usually understood as the bankers' bank. But what if it was the people's bank? At the Fed's annual Jackson Hole conference last week, an assortment of community organizers, activists, labor organizations, and economists showed up to push America's most important financial institution towards putting the concerns...

The Fed has yet to take monetary reform seriously

LARRY SUMMERS is right; this year's Fed symposium in Jackson Hole was triply disappointing. In the weeks before the gathering, members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) publicly discussed their worries that the current monetary framework might leave the Fed unable to deal adequately with future slowdowns. They...

Years of Fed Missteps Fueled Disillusion With the Economy and Washington

Once-revered central bank failed to foresee the crisis and has struggled in its aftermath, fostering the rise of populism and distrust of institutions. In the past decade Federal Reserve officials have been flummoxed by a housing bubble that cratered the financial system, a long stretch of slow growth they failed...

It’s Gone – Why Foreign Demand For US Treasuries Has Disappeared

Last week's TIC data confirmed something the Fed's Treasury custody account has indicated for the past several months: foreign demand for US government bonds has not only tumbled, but there has been aggressive selling. So much so, in fact, that in the past 12 months foreign central banks have sold...

Lord Rothschild: This Is The Greatest Experiment In Monetary Policy In The History Of...

Two months ago, the bond manager of what was once the world's biggest bond fund had a dire prediction about how "all of this" will end (spoiler: not well). Gross: Global yields lowest in 500 years of recorded history. $10 trillion of neg. rate bonds. This is a supernova that...

In Surprising Twist, Global Central Banks Dump A Record $335 Billion In US Debt...

On Sunday, when looking at the latest update of the Fed's custody holdings of Treasuries, we noted something troubling: the number dropped sharply, declining by over $17 billion, bringing the total to $2.871 trillion, the lowest amount of Treasuries held by foreigners at the Fed since 2012. We added that...

The problem with Europe is the euro

In this extract from his new book, the Nobel prize-winning economist argues that if the euro is not radically rethought, Europe could be condemned to decades of broken dreams. Europe, the source of the Enlightenment, the birthplace of modern science, is in crisis. This part of the world, which hosted...

Oil Giants Find There’s Nowhere to Hide From Doomsday Market

Exxon Mobil Corp. and Royal Dutch Shell Plc last week reported their lowest quarterly profits since 1999 and 2005, respectively. Chevron Corp.’s third straight loss marked the longest slump in 27 years, and BP Plc lodged its lowest refining margins in six years. Welcome to year two of a supply...

Oil Majors Hit Hard As Refining Boom Comes To An End

British Petroleum, the first oil major to announce results on Tuesday, has reported the lowest refining margins for the April to June period in the past six years. The global refining marker margin, which stood at $13.80 a barrel in the second quarter of this year, has dropped down...

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