Saturday, August 19, 2017

Tag: FED

China Reserves Hover Above $3 Trillion on Government Support

China's foreign currency holdings remained above $3 trillion in December even as the yuan capped its steepest annual decline in more than two decades. Reserves fell $41.08 billion to $3.01 trillion, the People’s Bank of China said in a statement Saturday. That matched a $3.01 trillion estimate in a Bloomberg survey...

Trump Prepares to Takeover Fed

In Donald Trump's first four years as president, he will not only choose three judges for the Supreme Court, he’ll also pick five of the seven members on the Fed Board of Governors. It would be impossible to overstate the effect this is going to have on the nation’s...

Saudis, China Dump Treasuries; Foreign Central Banks Liquidate A Record $375 Billion In US...

One month ago, when we last looked at the Fed's update of Treasuries held in custody, we noted something troubling: the number had dropped sharply, declining by over $22 billion in one week, one of the the biggest weekly declines since January 2015, pushing the total amount of custodial...

Trump Allies Urge Fed to Cut Balance Sheet and Revive Credit

Bond investors may have another reason to worry after Donald Trump's election last week: Some of his allies are not fans of the Federal Reserve’s big balance sheet of bonds and want the central bank to shrink it. They argue that the Fed's debt portfolio has damaged the economy by...

James Rickards: The Petro Dollar Is Dead, Dollar Devaluation, Pensions Lost, World Currency

James Rickards is the Editor of Strategic Intelligence, a financial newsletter, and Director of The James Rickards Project, an inquiry into the complex dynamics of geopolitics + global capital. He is the author of The New Case for Gold (April 2016), and two New York Times best sellers, The...

Saudis, China Dump Treasuries; Foreign Central Banks Liquidate A Record $346 Billion In US...

One month ago, when we last looked at the Fed's update of Treasuries held in custody, we noted something troubling: the number dropped sharply, declining by over $27.5 billion in one week, the biggest weekly drop since January 2015, pushing the total amount of custodial paper to $2.83 trillion,...

IMF Officially Gives China A Seat at the Adult Table of World Economies

China has the world’s second-largest economy, but its currency, the renminbi, has long been kept out of the International Monetary Fund’s elite club of the world’s strongest national tenders. That changed this weekend. After years of liberalization reforms, the IMF announced Saturday the renminbi would join the bank’s group of...

David Stockman: America Now Lives Under A Perverted Regime

The rise of Trump—and Bernie Sanders too—vastly transcends ordinary politics. In fact, it reaches deep into a ruined national economy that has morphed into rank casino capitalism under the misguided policies and faithless rule of the Washington and Wall Street elites. This epic deformation has delivered historically unprecedented set-backs to...

Treasury Market’s Biggest Buyers Are Selling as Never Before

They’ve long been one of the most reliable sources of demand for U.S. government debt. But these days, foreign central banks have become yet another worry for investors in the world’s most important bond market. Holders like China and Japan have culled their stakes in Treasuries for three consecutive quarters, the...

Banks to Need Billions More Capital in Tests Under Fed Plan

Wall Street would have to come up with billions of dollars in additional capital in a proposed revamp of the Federal Reserve's annual stress tests that could also scrap some provisions that lenders have criticized. As the Fed has signaled for months, it is considering changes that would raise the...

UN fears third leg of the global financial crisis – with prospect of epic...

The third leg of the world's intractable depression is yet to come. If trade economists at the United Nations are right, the next traumatic episode may entail the greatest debt jubilee in history. It may also prove to be the definitive crisis of globalized capitalism, the demise of the liberal...

Get ready for the mother of all stock market corrections once central banks cease...

Global stock and bond markets have been all over the place of late. Rarely have investors been so lacking in conviction. Confusion as to future direction reigns, and with good reason after the spectacular returns of recent years. For how much longer can stock markets keep delivering? Is there another...

Two of Fed’s Own Primary Dealers Warn Shock Hike Awaits Markets

There’s uncommon dissent in the ranks of the Federal Reserve's primary dealers over the central bank’s interest-rate decision this week. Two of the Fed's 23 preferred bond-trading partners -- Barclays Plc and BNP Paribas SA -- are betting against their peers and the bond market by forecasting officials will raise...

Foreigners turn away from Treasuries just when needed most: Analyst

The biggest buyers of U.S. Treasuries have turned fickle on U.S. debt, just when they may be needed most. Peter Boockvar, chief market analyst at The Lindsey Group, points out that for a fourth month in a row, foreigners were net sellers of U.S. notes and bonds, dumping $13.1 billion...

The Coming Bond Bubble Collapse

In this week’s podcast, Michael Pento, fund manager and author of The Coming Bond Bubble Collapse, explains how the United States is fast approaching the end stage of the biggest asset bubble in history. He describes how the bursting of this bubble will cause a massive interest rate shock that...

Foreign Central Banks Sell A Record $343 Billion In US Treasuries In The Last...

One month ago, when we last looked at the Fed's update of Treasuries held in custody, we noted something troubling: the number dropped sharply, declining by over $17 billion, bringing the total to $2.871 trillion, the lowest amount of Treasuries held by foreigners at the Fed since 2012. One...

Deutsche Bank: The US May Now Be In A Recession

Three months ago, we presented an analysis which showed something disturbing: according to Deutsche, the "current business cycle is already the fourth longest in the post- WWII period, and the corporate debt-to-GDP ratio suggests that imbalances are building", and that worse, as a result of soaring corporate debt and...

Fed’s Eric Rosengren Sees Reasonable Case for Gradual Rate Increases

Federal Reserve Bank of Boston president finds U.S. economy resilient despite drag from overseas. Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Eric Rosengren said Friday that “a reasonable case can be made” for tightening interest rates to avoid overheating the economy. Holding rates at their current low level for much longer risks...

The Weird New Normal of Negative Interest Rates

The United States, Germany, and other economic powerhouses haven't learned the dire lessons of Japan's lost decades. In 1998, when I was a reporter in Tokyo, an event happened that economists once thought impossible. Japan was at the height of its banking crisis, and as panic swelled, short-term market interest...

The Fed may be preparing for the unthinkable – negative interest rates in America

Negative interest rates are spreading like a virus. Central banks in the Eurozone, Switzerland, Sweden, and Japan all have below-zero policy rates. “NIRP,” as economists call a negative interest rate policy, is a desperation move—but the only move those central banks have. The Federal Reserve hasn’t followed—yet. When the next...

The Federal Reserve is living in a fantasyland

The Fed has failed. Indeed, only the world-historical disaster engineered by the nincompoops at the European Central Bank has made America's central bank — the Federal Reserve — look remotely good lately. For eight straight years, under Republican and Democratic leadership, the Fed has behaved like nothing has changed since the...

A Call to Keep The Fed’s Balance Sheet

Using the balance sheet to promote stability and scrapping the zero lower bound are among the fresh ideas. Another Jackson Hole economic symposium has come and gone. Fed Up, a group that's pushing for lower rates and asking the Fed to pay more attention to minorities and workers, is thrilled...

Gold is doing something it’s only done twice in the past decade

Gold may be worth more than what traders have decided is the spot price. There's a correlation between gold price changes and the rate at which central banks bought assets to expand their balance sheets, according to Deutsche Bank's Michael Hsueh and Grant Sporre. And the pace of balance-sheet expansion —...

The Federal Reserve’s moral imperative

The Federal Reserve is usually understood as the bankers' bank. But what if it was the people's bank? At the Fed's annual Jackson Hole conference last week, an assortment of community organizers, activists, labor organizations, and economists showed up to push America's most important financial institution towards putting the concerns...

Yen Debate Is Stirred Up by Fed’s Hawkish Talk at Jackson Hole

Japanese currency has slid since gathering of Fed bankers last week, but major investors are still betting on yen to rise. Japanese policy makers eager to see the yen weaken may be thankful for the latest bout of hawkishness on U.S. interest rates from top Federal Reserve officials. For many market...

The Fed has yet to take monetary reform seriously

LARRY SUMMERS is right; this year's Fed symposium in Jackson Hole was triply disappointing. In the weeks before the gathering, members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) publicly discussed their worries that the current monetary framework might leave the Fed unable to deal adequately with future slowdowns. They...

Years of Fed Missteps Fueled Disillusion With the Economy and Washington

Once-revered central bank failed to foresee the crisis and has struggled in its aftermath, fostering the rise of populism and distrust of institutions. In the past decade Federal Reserve officials have been flummoxed by a housing bubble that cratered the financial system, a long stretch of slow growth they failed...

It’s Gone – Why Foreign Demand For US Treasuries Has Disappeared

Last week's TIC data confirmed something the Fed's Treasury custody account has indicated for the past several months: foreign demand for US government bonds has not only tumbled, but there has been aggressive selling. So much so, in fact, that in the past 12 months foreign central banks have sold...

Gold’s Rally Means Old Rings Are Headed to the Melting Pot

The surprising rebound in gold prices this year has given new life to unwanted jewelry, coins and trinkets -- in the melting pot. More than a third of the world’s bullion supply usually comes from recycled metal, but purchases at pawn shops and cash-for-gold companies had slowed during a three-year slump...

Fed knows policy doesn’t work anymore but it won’t admit it: Strategist

The policies of global central banks received another bashing Thursday with a London-based investment strategist launching a stinging analysis of the U.S. Federal Reserve. Minutes released late Wednesday from the Fed's latest policy meeting showed some voting Federal Reserve policymakers expected a further U.S. interest rate increase will be required...

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