Sunday, August 20, 2017

Tag: Growth

China’s Xi Jinping At Davos, World’s Most Powerful Beggar

Xi Jinping will address the World Economic Forum on Tuesday in Davos, the first time a Chinese leader has done so. Chinese state media tells us he will speak strongly in favor of globalization. That message will be difficult to accept, however, as his country is closing off its market,...

Lagarde Says Globalization Needs to Have a More Inclusive Face

Supporters of globalization need to develop a new way to promote open markets that relies on smaller trade deals and helps people who are feeling left out, International Monetary Fund Managing Director Christine Lagarde said. “I certainly hope there is not a move toward deglobalization,” Lagarde said Friday in an...
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Michael Hudson on the Orwellian Turn in Contemporary Economics

Michael Hudson is President of The Institute for the Study of Long-Term Economic Trends (ISLET), a Wall Street Financial Analyst, Distinguished Research Professor of Economics at the University of Missouri, Kansas City and author of Killing the Host (2015), The Bubble and Beyond (2012), Super-Imperialism: The Economic Strategy of American Empire...

Trump Allies Urge Fed to Cut Balance Sheet and Revive Credit

Bond investors may have another reason to worry after Donald Trump's election last week: Some of his allies are not fans of the Federal Reserve’s big balance sheet of bonds and want the central bank to shrink it. They argue that the Fed's debt portfolio has damaged the economy by...

Bonds bloodied as Trump spending plans spur dollar

Routs in global bonds and emerging markets intensified, while the dollar climbed with base metals as investors positioned for the wave of fiscal stimulus that Donald Trump has pledged to unleash. The yield on 30-year Treasuries rose to the highest since January, with last week’s record debt selloff bleeding into...

James Rickards: The Petro Dollar Is Dead, Dollar Devaluation, Pensions Lost, World Currency

James Rickards is the Editor of Strategic Intelligence, a financial newsletter, and Director of The James Rickards Project, an inquiry into the complex dynamics of geopolitics + global capital. He is the author of The New Case for Gold (April 2016), and two New York Times best sellers, The...
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Meet the Renegades: Michael Hudson

With every major financial recovery since the second World War beginning in a place of greater debt than the one before it, how could we not have foreseen the financial crisis of 2008? In this episode of Meet the Renegades, economics professor and author, Michael Hudson argues we did. How could...

Five Reasons You Should Blame The Economics Discipline For Today’s Problems

This ended up being a pretty long piece so, for the “tl;dr” people, here is a quick summary: We are experiencing deep economic problems and it is the fault of the economics discipline. Their macro theories suck. But, there is no mechanism forcing it to alter its models when they...

Philippines open for business with China, says finance minister

Opportunities for the two countries to cooperate on infrastructure, says Carlos Dominguez. The Philippines' new government plans to court Chinese investment to fund an ambitious infrastructure programme, the latest sign of warming ties between the two nations that have been at loggerheads over territorial claims in the South China Sea. “The...

Turks cry economic warfare as Moody’s lowers credit rating

On a rainy day in May 2013, US President Barack Obama and Turkish leader Recep Tayyip Erdogan stood together under umbrellas in Washington praising the strategic partnership between their countries while Moody's Investors Service was upgrading Turkey’s credit rating to good. But since that heartwarming meeting of two leaders, black clouds have drifted over US-Turkey...

The Effects Of Money On Trade

There can be little doubt now outside of orthodox economics that the global economy is actually slowing, not accelerating as has been predicted. Economists themselves, however, continue to claim that things are getting better when the data strongly suggests otherwise. The latest depressing figures are from a pair of...

A Weaker Currency Is No Longer Economic Elixir It Once Was

A weaker currency, once the cure-all for ailing economies around the world, isn’t the panacea it once was. Just look at Japan, where the yen plunged 28 percent in the two years through 2014, yet net exports to America still fell by 10 percent. Or at the U.K., where the...

Global debt climbs towards fresh high as companies and countries keep on borrowing

Global debt issuance is on course to hit a record high in 2016 as figures showed sales this year topped $5 trillion (£3.9 trillion) at the end of September. Debt issuance rose to $5.02 trillion in the nine months to September 22, according to Dealogic, putting 2016 on course to...

The End of the G-20: Has the Group Outlived Its Purpose?

Over Labor Day weekend, the leaders of the G-20 countries gathered in Hangzhou, China, for their annual summit. Their goal this year: save the good name of globalization, which has recently taken a beating. In the wake of Brexit, the U.S. Republican presidential candidacy of Donald Trump, the rise...

Deutsche Bank: The US May Now Be In A Recession

Three months ago, we presented an analysis which showed something disturbing: according to Deutsche, the "current business cycle is already the fourth longest in the post- WWII period, and the corporate debt-to-GDP ratio suggests that imbalances are building", and that worse, as a result of soaring corporate debt and...

Years of Fed Missteps Fueled Disillusion With the Economy and Washington

Once-revered central bank failed to foresee the crisis and has struggled in its aftermath, fostering the rise of populism and distrust of institutions. In the past decade Federal Reserve officials have been flummoxed by a housing bubble that cratered the financial system, a long stretch of slow growth they failed...

It’s Time for China Analysts to Stop Talking Past One Another

What exactly is going on in the People's Republic? Even with good data, experts can't agree. On August 12, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) issued its annual report card on China's economy and gave the country mixed grades, finding that its “economic transition will continue to be complex, challenging, and...

Corporate debt seen ballooning to $75 trillion: S&P

Corporate debt is projected to swell over the next several years, thanks to cheap money from global central banks, according to a report Wednesday that warns of a potential crisis from all that new, borrowed cash floating around. By 2020, business debt likely will climb to $75 trillion from its...

IMF Cuts Global Growth Forecasts on Brexit, Warns of Risks to Outlook

Brexit causes ‘substantial’ increase in economic, political, institutional uncertainty Global forecast for 2017 cut by 0.1 percentage point, to 3.4 percent If not for Brexit, global forecast would have been slightly higher The International Monetary Fund cut its forecasts for global economic growth this year and next as the unexpected U.K. vote...

Bank of England Signals August Stimulus as Rate Kept at 0.5%

The Bank of England left its key interest rate at a record low and signaled it’s readying stimulus for August as the economy reels from Britain’s decision to quit the European Union. The nine-member Monetary Policy Committee, led by Governor Mark Carney, voted 8-1 to keep the benchmark at 0.5...

The IMF Confronts Its N-Word

The International Monetary Fund admits that it’s time to discard some of the old neoliberal dogmas. The research department of the International Monetary Fund dropped a political bombshell last month. The furor was set off by the publication of an article — “Neoliberalism: Oversold?” — that sparked a near-panic among...

Spain Runs Out of Workers With Almost 5 Million Unemployed

Spanish headhunter Samuel Pimentel just can’t find the candidates. After a frustrating search for specialist consultants for a client, he’s given up and is casting his net elsewhere. “We were looking for people for two months,” Pimentel, a partner at Ackermann Beaumont Group for Spain and Latin America, said in a...
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Alan Greenspan on Brexit, U.S. Economy, and Inflation

Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan discusses fallout the U.K.'s Brexit referendum, U.S. economic growth, wage and economic stagnation, central banks, low productivity, and his call for inflation in the U.S. economy. He speaks with Bloomberg's Michael McKee and Tom Keene on Bloomberg. U.K. policy makers miscalculated and made a...

It’s time for the word to end its debt-fueled growth model: BIS

The organization commonly known as the central bank of central banks has called for an end of boom-and-bust cycles that have plagued the global economy, urging lawmakers quickly to adjust current policy. "The global economy cannot afford to rely any longer on the debt-fueled growth model that has brought it...

The Fed Surrenders

The central bank underscores the slow-growth reality. So much for that June interest-rate increase, and maybe for July and the rest of 2016 too. The Federal Open Market Committee, which had been insisting for months that the economy is healthy enough to take rising rates, capitulated on Wednesday and signaled...

Fed keeps interest rates unchanged, signals fewer future hikes

The U.S. Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged on Wednesday and signaled it still planned to raise rates twice in 2016, though it said slower economic growth would crimp the pace of monetary policy tightening in future years. The central bank's decision to stick with its 2016 rate path, however,...
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An Overview of the Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy of the United States

Description Lael Brainard, a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve, discusses the current economic outlook of the United States and the monetary policies of the U.S. Federal Reserve. Brainard reflects on the challenges the U.S. economy faces with a potential interest rate rise on the horizon....

Neoliberalism: Oversold?

Instead of delivering growth, some neoliberal policies have increased inequality, in turn jeopardizing durable expansion Milton Friedman in 1982 hailed Chile as an “economic miracle.” Nearly a decade earlier, Chile had turned to policies that have since been widely emulated across the globe. The neoliberal agenda—a label used more by...

Wrong all along: Neoliberal IMF admits neoliberalism fuels inequality and hurts growth

Top International Monetary Fund researchers concede austerity, privatization & deregulation can hurt more than help. The world’s largest evangelist of neoliberalism, the International Monetary Fund, has admitted that it’s not all it’s cracked up to be. Neoliberalism refers to capitalism in its purest form. It is an economic philosophy espoused by...

Is China on a Path to Debt Ruin?

There's still a chance to avoid the worst. It depends on how bold the government is willing to be. In the first quarter of 2016, Chinese debt rose to 237 percent of GDP — a level comparable to that of the U.S. or the Eurozone and yet much larger than...

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