Saturday, August 19, 2017

Tag: Interest Rates

China Reserves Hover Above $3 Trillion on Government Support

China's foreign currency holdings remained above $3 trillion in December even as the yuan capped its steepest annual decline in more than two decades. Reserves fell $41.08 billion to $3.01 trillion, the People’s Bank of China said in a statement Saturday. That matched a $3.01 trillion estimate in a Bloomberg survey...

Saudis, China Dump Treasuries; Foreign Central Banks Liquidate A Record $375 Billion In US...

One month ago, when we last looked at the Fed's update of Treasuries held in custody, we noted something troubling: the number had dropped sharply, declining by over $22 billion in one week, one of the the biggest weekly declines since January 2015, pushing the total amount of custodial...

Trump Allies Urge Fed to Cut Balance Sheet and Revive Credit

Bond investors may have another reason to worry after Donald Trump's election last week: Some of his allies are not fans of the Federal Reserve’s big balance sheet of bonds and want the central bank to shrink it. They argue that the Fed's debt portfolio has damaged the economy by...

The Nation’s Biggest Banks Have Gotten a $130 Billion Boost from Trump Win

Biggest winner: Bank of America. Donald Trump and the big banks appears to be this year’s biggest story of unrequited love. While Trump has accused Wall Street of trying to ruin the country on the election trail, investors banking on the fact that the next president will be good for nation’s...

Bonds bloodied as Trump spending plans spur dollar

Routs in global bonds and emerging markets intensified, while the dollar climbed with base metals as investors positioned for the wave of fiscal stimulus that Donald Trump has pledged to unleash. The yield on 30-year Treasuries rose to the highest since January, with last week’s record debt selloff bleeding into...

Beware Donald Trump’s Infrastructure Plan

We don’t know much about Donald Trump's plans for this new toy he’s inherited called the world’s only superpower. But we know that he likes to put his name on things, which is why his prioritizing of an infrastructure program makes a lot of sense. He can barnstorm the...
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Meet the Renegades: Michael Hudson

With every major financial recovery since the second World War beginning in a place of greater debt than the one before it, how could we not have foreseen the financial crisis of 2008? In this episode of Meet the Renegades, economics professor and author, Michael Hudson argues we did. How could...

Saudis, China Dump Treasuries; Foreign Central Banks Liquidate A Record $346 Billion In US...

One month ago, when we last looked at the Fed's update of Treasuries held in custody, we noted something troubling: the number dropped sharply, declining by over $27.5 billion in one week, the biggest weekly drop since January 2015, pushing the total amount of custodial paper to $2.83 trillion,...

Euro house of cards to collapse, warns ECB prophet

The European Central Bank is becoming dangerously over-extended and the whole euro project is unworkable in its current form, the founding architect of the monetary union has warned. "One day, the house of cards will collapse,” said Professor Otmar Issing, the ECB's first chief economist and a towering figure in...

Eurogroup ministers back further bailout loans for Greece

EU finance ministers to release €2.8bn after Athens government carried out required reforms relating to privatising state assets, tax and pensions. Greece is on track to receive €2.8bn (£2.5bn) from its eurozone creditors by the end of October, after an agreement on Monday on the latest instalment of its multibillion-euro...

Understanding Deutsche Bank’s $47 Trillion Derivatives Book

Size of figure can be misleading, but some of those assets are hard to value, stoking concern among investors. Shares in Deutsche Bank AG have fallen by more than 48% this year amid concerns that the lender faces a hefty fine from the Justice Department and as its core lending...

David Stockman: America Now Lives Under A Perverted Regime

The rise of Trump—and Bernie Sanders too—vastly transcends ordinary politics. In fact, it reaches deep into a ruined national economy that has morphed into rank casino capitalism under the misguided policies and faithless rule of the Washington and Wall Street elites. This epic deformation has delivered historically unprecedented set-backs to...

Why is Deutsche Bank now the biggest worry in the financial world?

What’s going on with the banking industry? Since the credit crunch in 2008, banks have been struggling to adapt to their new environment. Low interest rates coupled with meagre yields in the financial markets mean banks can generate fewer profits from the deposits they collect, the loans they dole out,...

Can Russia Learn From Brazil’s Fate?

William Engdahl recently explained how Washington used the corrupt Brazilian elite, which answers to Washington, to remove the duly elected President of Brazil, Dilma Rousseff, for representing the Brazilian people rather than the interests of Washington. Unable to see through the propaganda of unproven charges, Brazilians acquiesced in the...

The decline of the middle class is causing even more economic damage than we...

I have just come across an International Monetary Fund working paper on income polarization in the United States that makes an important contribution to the secular stagnation debate. The authors — Ali Alichi, Kory Kantenga and Juan Solé — use standard econometric techniques to estimate the impact of declines in middle...

A Weaker Currency Is No Longer Economic Elixir It Once Was

A weaker currency, once the cure-all for ailing economies around the world, isn’t the panacea it once was. Just look at Japan, where the yen plunged 28 percent in the two years through 2014, yet net exports to America still fell by 10 percent. Or at the U.K., where the...

Global debt climbs towards fresh high as companies and countries keep on borrowing

Global debt issuance is on course to hit a record high in 2016 as figures showed sales this year topped $5 trillion (£3.9 trillion) at the end of September. Debt issuance rose to $5.02 trillion in the nine months to September 22, according to Dealogic, putting 2016 on course to...

ECB Board Member Admits Central Bank’s Monetary Policy Risks Tearing Up Social Fabric

Time to toss yet another "conspiracy theory" on the composite heap of "theories that became fact." A recurring theme we have pounded the table on over the past nearly 8 years is that central bank policy has been the primary driver leading to not only a record wealth and...

Two of Fed’s Own Primary Dealers Warn Shock Hike Awaits Markets

There’s uncommon dissent in the ranks of the Federal Reserve's primary dealers over the central bank’s interest-rate decision this week. Two of the Fed's 23 preferred bond-trading partners -- Barclays Plc and BNP Paribas SA -- are betting against their peers and the bond market by forecasting officials will raise...

Foreigners turn away from Treasuries just when needed most: Analyst

The biggest buyers of U.S. Treasuries have turned fickle on U.S. debt, just when they may be needed most. Peter Boockvar, chief market analyst at The Lindsey Group, points out that for a fourth month in a row, foreigners were net sellers of U.S. notes and bonds, dumping $13.1 billion...

The Coming Bond Bubble Collapse

In this week’s podcast, Michael Pento, fund manager and author of The Coming Bond Bubble Collapse, explains how the United States is fast approaching the end stage of the biggest asset bubble in history. He describes how the bursting of this bubble will cause a massive interest rate shock that...

Foreign Central Banks Sell A Record $343 Billion In US Treasuries In The Last...

One month ago, when we last looked at the Fed's update of Treasuries held in custody, we noted something troubling: the number dropped sharply, declining by over $17 billion, bringing the total to $2.871 trillion, the lowest amount of Treasuries held by foreigners at the Fed since 2012. One...

Deutsche Bank: The US May Now Be In A Recession

Three months ago, we presented an analysis which showed something disturbing: according to Deutsche, the "current business cycle is already the fourth longest in the post- WWII period, and the corporate debt-to-GDP ratio suggests that imbalances are building", and that worse, as a result of soaring corporate debt and...

Fed’s Eric Rosengren Sees Reasonable Case for Gradual Rate Increases

Federal Reserve Bank of Boston president finds U.S. economy resilient despite drag from overseas. Federal Reserve Bank of Boston President Eric Rosengren said Friday that “a reasonable case can be made” for tightening interest rates to avoid overheating the economy. Holding rates at their current low level for much longer risks...

The Weird New Normal of Negative Interest Rates

The United States, Germany, and other economic powerhouses haven't learned the dire lessons of Japan's lost decades. In 1998, when I was a reporter in Tokyo, an event happened that economists once thought impossible. Japan was at the height of its banking crisis, and as panic swelled, short-term market interest...

Bank of Japan’s New Unease With Negative Rates

Gov. Kuroda’s rhetoric takes an important turn as he recognize’s negative rates’ baleful effect on banks. The Bank of Japan's negative interest rate policy is adding a new ingredient: a dash of remorse. Two weeks before a much-anticipated monetary-policy meeting, BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda acknowledged that subzero policy rates have had...

The Fed may be preparing for the unthinkable – negative interest rates in America

Negative interest rates are spreading like a virus. Central banks in the Eurozone, Switzerland, Sweden, and Japan all have below-zero policy rates. “NIRP,” as economists call a negative interest rate policy, is a desperation move—but the only move those central banks have. The Federal Reserve hasn’t followed—yet. When the next...

China to lead way with landmark SDR bond offerings

HONG KONG/SINGAPORE, (IFR) - China is pushing for a landmark offering of bonds denominated in Special Drawing Rights, the International Monetary Fund's synthetic reserve currency, ahead of the renminbi's official entry into the SDR basket in October. The World Bank and China Development Bank are actively preparing to issue SDR...

The Federal Reserve is living in a fantasyland

The Fed has failed. Indeed, only the world-historical disaster engineered by the nincompoops at the European Central Bank has made America's central bank — the Federal Reserve — look remotely good lately. For eight straight years, under Republican and Democratic leadership, the Fed has behaved like nothing has changed since the...

A Call to Keep The Fed’s Balance Sheet

Using the balance sheet to promote stability and scrapping the zero lower bound are among the fresh ideas. Another Jackson Hole economic symposium has come and gone. Fed Up, a group that's pushing for lower rates and asking the Fed to pay more attention to minorities and workers, is thrilled...

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